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CONFLICT
Iran 'calls Trump's bluff' as it denies negotiating with the US
U.S. President Donald Trump said new talks to wind down the war in Iran will start on August 3, after announcing he is holding off on new massive strikes he had threatened to unleash on the country. This is not a one-time occurrence: Trump has regularly announced ongoing talks after threatening agre
Caution ahead70%
PositiveDiplomatic options may remain open
RiskEscalation, implementation failure or renewed fighting
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